Showing posts with label precious metals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label precious metals. Show all posts

07 June 2012

To my Greek readers: The sale of gold and silver coins by the Central Bank is a rip-off


On April 30 the Greek Ministry of Finance issued a press release announcing the sale of gold and silver collector coins. It is a rip-off, so keep clear!
The calculation is as follows:
1. Gold coins
17 g / coin @ 1,615 $/oz (1 troy oz= 31.1g) = 702.58 EUR / coin (1.2565 USD / 1 EUR)
Selling price: EUR 2,100 i.e. 3 X the value of gold!!!
2. Silver coins
24 g / coin @ 29 $/oz (1 troy oz= 31.1g) = 17.81 EUR / coin (1.2565 USD / 1 EUR)
Selling price: EUR 90 i.e. 5 X the value of silver!!!!!
Please also note that the title of precious metal is on the low end at 916/1000 of gold and 925/1000 of silver.
You are better buying alternative coins quoted on the market or gold bars. For example, for EUR 2,100 you could buy a 1 oz Canadian Mapple Leaf with 999.9 / 1000 purity and get 14.1 g more gold, a better purity and still have EUR 700 to go shopping! (and I included a fat 5% broker commission).
This deal is much worse than the issue of gold and silver coins by the French Mint in April 2011…et do not tell me that that the “collector” value makes the difference!
Source:
Ministry of Finance: Press release
http://www.minfin.gr/content-api/f/binaryChannel/minfin/datastore/f5/a3/e8/f5a3e8c5477c1dfd193356144901e5120f657bec/application/pdf/ANNOUNCEMENT+75+YEARS+BoG.pdf

Markets & Beyond: The French mint issues a limited series of gold and silver coins: a rip-off!

http://marketsandbeyond.blogspot.com/2011/04/french-mint-issues-limited-series-of.html

13 April 2011

The French mint issues a limited series of gold and silver coins: a rip-off!


The French mint (“Monnaie de Paris”) is issuing 10,000 gold EUR 1,000 face value (weight 20 g or 0.71 oz @ 999.99/1000 title) and 50,000 silver EUR 100 face value (weight 50 g or 1.76 oz @ 900/1000 title). They will be delivered from mid-June to end July and a 30% deposit is required to reserve them.
Do not rush!
First, Gold coins were already sold out within 48 hours with people queuing in the street at “ Monnaie de Paris” Thursday and Friday. Tuesday, I was told by officials there that silver coins were also sold out.
Second, it is a rip off!!
1) Investors get a 1:3 leverage for +/- 3 months having to deposit only 30% of the face value until delivery
2) The interesting feature is that the coins have legal tender and it is therefore possible to exchange them at face value at any bank in France (and probably throughout the eurozone but I could not find confirmation of this). This means that if the metal value of coins was to fall below the face value of coins, investors would still get the face value. This puts a floor on gold and silver prices: it is the same as having a free undated long put on gold and silver prices.
Let’s take an example.
If gold prices continue to go up, then the value of coin will go up accordingly. If gold prices were to fall to EUR 500/oz giving a gold value for gold coins of EUR 323, your coin would still be worth EUR 1,000.
BUT
There is more than one catch however: as usual no free lunch!
1) According to the data indicated on “Monnaie de Paris” web site, the oz used is an ounce and not a troy ounce; this means 28.35 g/oz is used instead of the 31.104 g/oz for the quotation of precious metals, a ratio of 0.912 (see calculation below).
2) At the time of writing, the value of precious metal for each coin is well below the face value:
Gold @ $1,460/oz x 0.912 x 1.44 EUR/USD x 0,71 oz= EUR 656.51, over 50% premium!
Silver @ $40.6/oz x 0.912 x 1.44 EUR/USD x 1.76 oz = EUR 45.26, over 120% premium!!!
I doubt the collectable value (if any) warrants such premia. As usual the poor guy in the street has been ripped off.
And paying a put option at such premia looks very rich to me.
3) If the price of precious metals were collapsing, I also doubt that French authorities would not renege on the possibility to exchange the coins at their face value.
One last thing, the price includes 19.6% VAT; if you are a non-EU resident you are normally entitled to the reimbursement of VAT (and you pay whatever tax, if any, in your country of residence); here, forget it: you pay the full price.
Why on earth any rational investor would buy these coins when much cheaper alternatives are available; the history of love French have with gold is so long that they were trapped once again by the Ministry of Finance... (this does not mean that there will not be a mini-bubble in the short term – Oops! A bubble created by a Ministry of Finance, anything new?).
Source:
Monnaie de Paris: La Boutique
http://boutique.monnaiedeparis.fr/is-bin/INTERSHOP.enfinity/WFS/Monnaie-Front-Site/fr_FR/-/EUR/ViewStandardCatalog-Browse?CatalogCategoryID=6PqsE6zmTcYAAAEuIykkXE22

07 May 2009

Gold sales cost Europe’s central banks $40bn

This article from the Financial Times on Europe’s central banks timing of gold sales caught my attention:
"Europe’s central banks are $40bn poorer than they might have been after they followed a British move taken 10 years ago on Thursday to shrink the Bank of England’s gold reserves, analysis by the Financial Times has shown."


"European banks sold about 3,800 tonnes of gold, reaping about $56bn."


"Taking into account the likely returns from the investments in bonds, the banks have gained another $12bn. But because today’s gold prices are far higher, they are about $40bn poorer than if they had kept their reserves."


Interesting enough, the US has not sold any gold. Since, the mid 2000 a number of central banks in Asia (China in particular) and Russia have been gold buyers; a wise move. Once again, central bankers in Europe got it wrong.

According to numbers compiled by the World Gold Trade Council, amongst the largest holders of gold, since1999 through March 2009, France (-18%), The Netherlands (-37%), the ECB (-28%), the UK (-51%) and Switzerland (-60%) have been net sellers of 2,988 tonnes, the US, Japan, Germany and Italy held their reserves steady, Russia (+26%) and China (+167%) increased theirs substantially from a low level at +768 tonnes .

No need to be a great expert to see where the wise men are located.

When velocity will start to roll again coupled with the money created by central banks to face the crisis, the need for many western countries to pay down debt in the least painful way (short term), the sharp increase in metals and energy when the economy revives, you can bet that inflation will jump and gold prices will be ahead.

Sources:

Gold sales cost Europe’s central banks $40bn
Javier Blas
Financial Times, May 6 2009
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/433a92b4-3a67-11de-8a2d-00144feabdc0.html#

World Gold Council
http://www.reserveasset.gold.org/